250 words agree or disagree
Because the intelligence process works in a normally streamlined way, there are some issues when looking at information sharing. When information or intelligence is shared, some agencies may be conducting different types of information analysis or collection. The analytical differences, for example between fusion centers and the state, local, and territorial police intelligence analysts. The SLT agencies don’t have the same systems or tools available to them that fusion centers can have. When information either gets passed up to fusion centers or down to the SLT departments, the informcation could be difficult to decipher. Because the information gets looked at and analyzed from different views, people can look at the same picture and have two different answers to what is in it (Carter et al, 2012, 83-84)
2) CONFIDENCE IN PREDICTIONS
Because intelligence is based off of an analysis of information and a prediction has to be made as to whether something is probable/possible, it can have differences. Because one person analyzes information that is presented to them from one aspect, say ELINT, another analyst, say IMINT, can have a different assessment. In order for the predictions to be reliable for customers, analysts need to have higher confidence in their analysis. The higher the confidence that analysts have when looking at the information, the more likely it is to be correct. With that being said, if there is a high confidence on different sides, like if analyst 1 says “ABC will happen with high confidence” and analyst 2 says “XYZ will happen with high confidence”, then you begin to get conflicts. This is when the intelligence process comes into play even more than the initial analysis. They will need to go back through the process to come to a determination on their analysis (Arkes et al, 2011, 147).
3) PREDICTABLE BEHAVIORS
Humans are a creature of habit and with that being said, people’s actions can be predictable. Using the intelligence process can help with avoiding these behaviors. Because some people will look at something, they will consider something along the lines of a previous experience or analysis that they had made. There are a couple of different ways people will utilize their adapted behaviro rather than the intelligence process. People can get too comfortable because they are “experienced”, they can use the process incorrectly, or a number of other ways. These behaviors can be taken into their analysis, giving them or decisionmakers false information based off what their behaviors have told them to do. For the intelligence process with looking at it from a different perspective, the intelligence process can be helpful when analyzing information. Using the intelligence process with people’s predicted behavior can leverage a potential positive analysis when dealing with complex situations involving people in other countries (Arkes et al, 2011, 144-146).
Carter, D., Chermak, S., McGarrell, E., Carter, J., Drew, J. (May 2012). Understanding the Intelligence Practices of State, Local, and Tribal Law Enforcement Agencies.. Published by U.S. Department of Justice. https://apus.intelluslearning.com/lti/#/document/103369821/1/23fdf224dd6a2343b708fb28d692cbc2/5270057e15b1cc90c046033c6544b11f/browse_published_content/3908/2861/31245/2/lesson/lesson?hideClose=false&tagId=26793&external_course_id=410421&external_course_name=INTL431%20B001%20Sum%2019
Arkes. H.R., Kajdasz, J. (2011). Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations. Published by National Academics of Science, Engineering, and Medicine. https://www.nap.edu/read/13062/chapter/11
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